Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.030199 0.032545 0.034999 0.037762 0.040789 0.044009 0.047700
2025-02-16 0.026283 0.029597 0.033250 0.037591 0.042625 0.048302 0.055218
2025-02-23 0.023559 0.027408 0.031819 0.037279 0.043896 0.051706 0.061695
2025-03-02 0.021679 0.025890 0.030872 0.037249 0.045263 0.055092 0.068199
2025-03-09 0.019948 0.024344 0.029683 0.036711 0.045821 0.057366 0.073327
2025-03-16 0.018429 0.022910 0.028477 0.035988 0.045988 0.059035 0.077665
2025-03-23 0.017289 0.021857 0.027649 0.035641 0.046549 0.061173 0.082697
2025-03-30 0.016301 0.020923 0.026894 0.035303 0.047047 0.063191 0.087637
2025-04-06 0.015294 0.019896 0.025940 0.034607 0.046965 0.064342 0.091348
2025-04-13 0.014776 0.019488 0.025782 0.034980 0.048378 0.067672 0.098491
2025-04-20 0.014176 0.018930 0.025378 0.034963 0.049201 0.070159 0.104498
2025-04-27 0.013776 0.018623 0.025297 0.035391 0.050683 0.073696 0.112397
2025-05-04 0.013152 0.017974 0.024706 0.035043 0.050984 0.075462 0.117615
2025-05-11 0.012631 0.017446 0.024259 0.034881 0.051551 0.077665 0.123723
2025-05-18 0.012114 0.016900 0.023755 0.034595 0.051892 0.079509 0.129340
2025-05-25 0.011706 0.016493 0.023434 0.034566 0.052628 0.082025 0.136310
2025-06-01 0.011205 0.015923 0.022841 0.034074 0.052572 0.083199 0.140945
2025-06-08 0.010694 0.015318 0.022165 0.033413 0.052189 0.083775 0.144505
2025-06-15 0.010301 0.014875 0.021719 0.033095 0.052356 0.085299 0.149943
2025-06-22 0.009934 0.014458 0.021293 0.032785 0.052511 0.086799 0.155440
2025-06-29 0.009514 0.013941 0.020688 0.032148 0.052060 0.087170 0.158729
2025-07-06 0.009339 0.013800 0.020671 0.032490 0.053335 0.090755 0.168754
2025-07-13 0.009094 0.013540 0.020452 0.032474 0.053967 0.093180 0.176602